Course Outline

Machine Learning Introduction

  • Types of machine learning – supervised vs. unsupervised
  • Transition from statistical learning to machine learning
  • The data mining workflow: business understanding, data preparation, modeling, deployment for government applications
  • Selecting the appropriate algorithm for specific tasks
  • Addressing overfitting and managing the bias-variance tradeoff

Python and ML Libraries Overview

  • Rationale for using programming languages in machine learning
  • Evaluating choices between R and Python for government use cases
  • Introduction to Python and Jupyter Notebooks for data science
  • Key Python libraries: pandas, NumPy, scikit-learn, matplotlib, seaborn

Testing and Evaluating ML Algorithms

  • Generalization, overfitting, and model validation techniques for government projects
  • Evaluation strategies: holdout, cross-validation, bootstrapping
  • Regression metrics: Mean Error (ME), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)
  • Classification metrics: accuracy, confusion matrix, handling unbalanced classes
  • Visualizing model performance: profit curve, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, lift curve
  • Model selection and grid search for hyperparameter tuning

Data Preparation

  • Data import and storage methods in Python for government datasets
  • Conducting exploratory data analysis and generating summary statistics
  • Managing missing values and outliers in public sector data
  • Applying standardization, normalization, and transformation techniques
  • Recoding qualitative data and performing data wrangling with pandas

Classification Algorithms

  • Differentiating between binary and multiclass classification
  • Utilizing logistic regression and discriminant functions for government applications
  • Implementing Naïve Bayes, k-nearest neighbors algorithms
  • Exploring decision trees: Classification and Regression Trees (CART), Random Forests, Bagging, Boosting, XGBoost
  • Support Vector Machines and kernel methods for complex data
  • Ensemble learning techniques to enhance model accuracy

Regression and Numerical Prediction

  • Least squares method and variable selection strategies
  • Regularization techniques: L1 (Lasso) and L2 (Ridge)
  • Polynomial regression and nonlinear models for government data analysis
  • Regression trees and spline methods for flexible modeling

Unsupervised Learning

  • Clustering techniques: k-means, k-medoids, hierarchical clustering, Self-Organizing Maps (SOMs)
  • Dimensionality reduction methods: Principal Component Analysis (PCA), factor analysis, Singular Value Decomposition (SVD)
  • Multidimensional scaling for visualizing high-dimensional data

Text Mining

  • Text preprocessing and tokenization for government documents
  • Bag-of-words model, stemming, and lemmatization techniques
  • Sentiment analysis and word frequency analysis for public sector communications
  • Visualizing text data with word clouds for clear insights

Recommendation Systems

  • User-based and item-based collaborative filtering methods for government services
  • Designing and evaluating recommendation engines for enhanced user experience in public sector applications

Association Pattern Mining

  • Frequent itemsets and the Apriori algorithm for efficient data mining
  • Market basket analysis and calculating lift ratios for policy-making

Outlier Detection

  • Extreme value analysis for identifying anomalies in government datasets
  • Distance-based and density-based methods for outlier detection
  • Handling outliers in high-dimensional data for robust public sector analytics

Machine Learning Case Study

  • Understanding the business problem and defining objectives for government projects
  • Data preprocessing and feature engineering to prepare datasets
  • Selecting and tuning models for optimal performance
  • Evaluating and presenting findings to stakeholders in a clear and actionable manner
  • Deploying machine learning solutions in real-world government scenarios

Summary and Next Steps

Requirements

  • A foundational understanding of statistics and linear algebra is required.
  • Familiarity with data analysis or business intelligence concepts is necessary.
  • Some exposure to programming, preferably in Python or R, is recommended.
  • An interest in learning applied machine learning for data-driven projects is essential.

Audience for Government

  • Data analysts and scientists within government agencies
  • Statisticians and research professionals working in public sector environments
  • Developers and IT professionals exploring machine learning tools for government applications
  • Any government employees involved in data science or predictive analytics projects
 21 Hours

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