Course Outline

Introduction

  • Differentiating between statistical learning (statistical analysis) and machine learning
  • Adoption of machine learning technology and talent by financial institutions for government applications

Understanding Different Types of Machine Learning

  • Supervised learning compared to unsupervised learning
  • Iteration and evaluation processes in machine learning models
  • The bias-variance trade-off in model selection
  • Combining supervised and unsupervised learning techniques (semi-supervised learning)

Understanding Machine Learning Languages and Toolsets for Government Use

  • Comparison of open source versus proprietary systems and software
  • Evaluating Python, R, and Matlab for machine learning tasks
  • Overview of libraries and frameworks available for government applications

Understanding Neural Networks for Government Applications

Understanding Basic Concepts in Finance for Government Operations

  • Stocks trading fundamentals
  • Time series data analysis
  • Financial analyses methodologies

Machine Learning Case Studies in Finance for Government Use

  • Signal generation and testing in financial models
  • Feature engineering for enhanced predictive accuracy
  • Artificial intelligence-driven algorithmic trading strategies
  • Quantitative trade predictions using machine learning
  • Robo-advisors for efficient portfolio management
  • Risk management and fraud detection techniques
  • Insurance underwriting processes enhanced by machine learning

Hands-on: Python for Machine Learning in Government Applications

  • Setting up the workspace for government use
  • Obtaining Python machine learning libraries and packages for government applications
  • Working with Pandas for data manipulation
  • Utilizing Scikit-Learn for machine learning tasks

Importing Financial Data into Python for Government Use

  • Using Pandas for data integration
  • Utilizing Quandl for financial data access
  • Integrating with Excel for government reporting

Working with Time Series Data with Python for Government Applications

  • Exploring and preprocessing time series data
  • Visualizing time series data for insights

Implementing Common Financial Analyses with Python for Government Use

  • Calculating returns on investments
  • Applying moving windows for trend analysis
  • Computing volatility measures
  • Performing ordinary least-squares regression (OLS)

Developing an Algorithmic Trading Strategy Using Supervised Machine Learning with Python for Government Applications

  • Understanding the momentum trading strategy
  • Exploring the reversion trading strategy
  • Implementing a simple moving averages (SMA) trading strategy

Backtesting Your Machine Learning Trading Strategy for Government Use

  • Identifying common backtesting pitfalls
  • Components of an effective backtester
  • Using Python tools for backtesting
  • Implementing a basic backtesting framework

Improving Your Machine Learning Trading Strategy for Government Use

  • KMeans clustering for data segmentation
  • K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) for classification and regression
  • Classification or regression trees for decision-making
  • Genetic algorithms for optimization
  • Managing multi-symbol portfolios effectively
  • Incorporating a risk management framework
  • Utilizing event-driven backtesting techniques

Evaluating Your Machine Learning Trading Strategy's Performance for Government Use

  • Calculating the Sharpe ratio for performance assessment
  • Determining the maximum drawdown for risk evaluation
  • Computing the compound annual growth rate (CAGR)
  • Measuring the distribution of returns
  • Using trade-level metrics for detailed analysis
  • Summary of key findings and recommendations

Troubleshooting for Government Applications

Closing Remarks for Government Use

Requirements

  • Basic experience with Python programming for government applications
  • Basic familiarity with statistics and linear algebra for government analysis
 21 Hours

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