Course Outline

Introduction to Time Series Analysis for Government

  • Overview of time series data for government applications
  • Components of time series: trend, seasonality, and noise
  • Setting up Google Colab for time series analysis in a government context

Exploratory Data Analysis for Time Series in Government

  • Visualizing time series data for government operations
  • Decomposing time series components to inform policy decisions
  • Detecting seasonality and trends to enhance governance

ARIMA Models for Time Series Forecasting for Government

  • Understanding ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) for government use
  • Choosing parameters for ARIMA models to support public sector forecasting
  • Implementing ARIMA models in Python for government applications

Introduction to Prophet for Time Series Forecasting for Government

  • Overview of Prophet for time series forecasting in a government setting
  • Implementing Prophet models in Google Colab for government data
  • Handling holidays and special events in forecasting for government operations

Advanced Forecasting Techniques for Government

  • Handling missing data in time series for government datasets
  • Multivariate time series forecasting to support comprehensive public sector analysis
  • Customizing forecasts with external regressors for enhanced accuracy

Evaluating and Fine-tuning Forecast Models for Government

  • Performance metrics for time series forecasting in government applications
  • Fine-tuning ARIMA and Prophet models to meet public sector needs
  • Cross-validation and backtesting to ensure reliable government forecasts

Real-world Applications of Time Series Analysis for Government

  • Case studies of time series forecasting in government agencies
  • Practical exercises with real-world government datasets
  • Next steps for implementing time series analysis in Python for government use

Summary and Next Steps for Government

Requirements

  • Intermediate knowledge of Python programming for government applications
  • Familiarity with basic statistics and data analysis techniques

Audience

  • Data analysts in the public sector
  • Data scientists for government agencies
  • Professionals working with time series data in governmental contexts
 21 Hours

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