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Course Outline
Challenges Facing Forecasters for Government
- Customer Demand Planning
- Investor Uncertainty
- Economic Planning
- Seasonal Changes in Demand/Utilization
- Roles of Risk and Uncertainty
Time Series Forecasting for Government
- Seasonal Adjustment
- Moving Average
- Exponential Smoothing
- Extrapolation
- Linear Prediction
- Trend Estimation
- Stationarity and ARIMA Modeling
Econometric Methods (Causal Methods) for Government
- Regression Analysis
- Multiple Linear Regression
- Multiple Non-Linear Regression
- Regression Validation
- Forecasting from Regression
Judgmental Methods for Government
- Surveys
- Delphi Method
- Scenario Building
- Technology Forecasting
- Forecast by Analogy
Simulation and Other Methods for Government
- Simulation
- Prediction Market
- Probabilistic Forecasting and Ensemble Forecasting
Requirements
This course is part of the Data Scientist skill set for government (Domain: Analytical Techniques and Methods).
14 Hours
Testimonials (2)
The exercises.
Elena Velkova - CEED Bulgaria
Course - Predictive Modelling with R
He was very informative and helpful.